NFL MVP race heads into final month of games with a clear favorite after long battle

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If you are someone that likes to wait to see how a specific betting market is going to shape up, the NFL Most Valuable Player award odds might be something that you want to check out now.

But make it quick, because a four-horse race at the three-quarters pole is quickly turning into the favorite sprinting off on his own to the finish line.

A few weeks ago, this MVP market was between slight favorite Patrick Mahomes of the Kansas City Chiefs, Russell Wilson of the Seattle Seahawks, Aarons Rodgers of the Green Bay Packers, and Kyler Murray of the Arizona Cardinals.

But over the last couple games, the market has really started to separate, and now it is really just Mahomes, with WIlson and Rodgers still on the periphery, and Murray fading fast.

Currently, heading into the weekend of Week 12, Mahomes is now a minus money overwhelming favorite at -125; although those odds might vary slightly among books, most have him around that number.

Wilson is now around +300, with Rodgers at +500, and Murray fourth choice at +1400.

Murray had a clear chance to move up the charts in Week 11, but lost to Wilson and the Seahawks in prime time. Rodgers will get that same chance to make his case this Sunday night in a key division game against the Chicago Bears, as will Wilson once again on Monday Night in Philadelphia.

But for me, it is all about the 2018 NFL (and Super Bowl LIV) MVP Mahomes, who has the 9-1 Chiefs rolling into their Sunday afternoon clash with 7-4 Tampa Bay.  He is second in the NFL in passing yards with 3,035 yards, with one less game played than Deshaun Watson, and is first in ypg at 303.5. He has thrown 27 touchdowns, and a league low two interceptions; and of course, he plays for the defending Super Bowl champions.

The Chiefs are +300 to go back-to-back as NFL champions, in large part to Mahomes. And despite having a team in its league to be unbeaten heading into Week 12, Kansas City is a +140 favorite to repeat as AFC champion.

So, is it worth it taking one of Wilson or Rodgers right now?

The books seem to think not: Mahomes was +200 a couple weeks ago, and those odds have dropped very quickly.

If you think he is going to be the MVP, and the Chiefs are going to repeat, now is the time to jump on those odds, before they fall even more.

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